// DAILY DIGEST

EUR/USD held flat at 1.1631 as a firmer dollar from the crypto-driven risk-off capped the euro near the middle of its recent range.

DXY at 99.2 is still historically soft, so the ECB-Fed rate gap keeps EUR bid on dips, but upside momentum has stalled around 1.1600.

1.1600 is the line in the sand; a break opens 1.1530. Reclaiming 1.1700 is needed to revive the bull case.

Cable was steady at 1.3464 even as gilts slumped on political risk tied to a reported Burnham leadership challenge to Starmer.

UK fiscal and political jitters are capping sterling despite a broadly soft dollar, leaving the pair range-bound.

1.3400 support and 1.3550 resistance frame the range; gilt headlines are the near-term swing factor.

USD/JPY pushed to 159.88, within a whisker of its 52-week high, as yield differentials and BoJ caution kept the yen pinned.

With US10Y at 4.45% and the BoJ slow to tighten, carry strongly favors the dollar — but intervention risk rises near 160.

160.00 is the psychological and intervention trigger; a clean break targets 161.50, while jawboning could snap it back.

The Aussie firmed to 0.7176, near its 12-month high, riding the risk-on tech tape and a firmer oil price.

AUD is tracking equity risk appetite and the commodity bounce more than rate spreads in the current regime.

0.7200 is the key resistance; a hold above keeps the uptrend intact, with 0.7120 as first support.

Gold edged up 0.3% to $4,489, holding the $4,500 zone, after a Reuters note flagged it has overtaken Treasurys as the top central-bank reserve asset.

Structural central-bank demand and sticky inflation underpin gold even with real yields elevated — a durable, not speculative, bid.

$4,500 is immediate resistance, $4,420 support; any hot inflation read keeps the bid firm.

Silver firmed 0.4% to $75.31, edging higher but still roughly a third below its cycle peak.

Silver lags gold's central-bank bid; it needs industrial and AI-hardware demand to close the gap with the yellow metal.

$74 support and $78 resistance bracket the move; a gold breakout would likely drag silver with it.

WTI jumped 1.7% to $93.76 as fresh Middle East hostilities and Strait of Hormuz risk revived the supply premium.

Geopolitics, not demand, is driving crude — and an oil spike complicates the inflation picture the Fed is already watching.

$95 is the next resistance; de-escalation headlines could quickly unwind the premium back toward $90.

The S&P 500 notched another record close at 7,610, up 0.1%, as a powerful chip rally outweighed an oil spike and the crypto rout.

AI is doing the heavy lifting and breadth is narrow, with semiconductors carrying the index higher.

Sustaining records needs follow-through from mega-cap tech; Friday's NFP print is the next macro test.

The Nasdaq 100 climbed 0.5% to a record 30,661, led by Nvidia's new PC-processor launch and a 32% surge in Marvell.

The AI-capex narrative remains the single dominant market force, pulling capital out of crypto and into chips.

Watch for any wobble in semis leadership; 30,000 is now the first line of support.

The Dow added 0.45% to a record 51,308, lagging tech but lifted by the broad risk-on tone.

Its value tilt means the Dow rides the rally without the semiconductor turbocharge — steady rather than spectacular.

51,000 is first support; rotation breadth will decide whether the Dow keeps pace with the Nasdaq.

Bitcoin plunged 6.9% to $66,408 after MicroStrategy disclosed it sold BTC to fund dividends, breaking its never-sell stance, while capital rotated into AI chips.

The MicroStrategy signal, renewed dollar strength, and sticky-inflation Fed fears have together broken crypto's momentum.

February's $60,000 low is back in play; $64,000 is the first support that needs to hold.

Ether dropped 8% to $1,843, underperforming Bitcoin in a broad crypto deleveraging.

With risk capital chasing AI equities, ETH lacks a near-term catalyst, though Standard Chartered argues it is set to outperform BTC from here.

$1,800 must hold; a clean break risks a cascade toward $1,650.

Nvidia eased 0.7% to $222.82, pausing even as its new PC-processor launch lit a fire under the wider chip complex, with Marvell up 32%.

Even on a down day, Nvidia's product cadence is setting the AI-capex narrative that is driving the entire market.

$230 resistance sits near the 52-week high; $215 is first support.

Tesla rose 1.9% to $423.74, outperforming megacaps as SpaceX IPO buzz lifted the broader Musk complex.

Sentiment, not fundamentals, is driving the move — the reported $75bn SpaceX IPO halo and EV-policy headlines are the fuel.

$430 resistance and $410 support frame the range into the next session.

Apple jumped 2.9% to a fresh 52-week high of $315 on the debut of its AI Siri and bill-splitting features.

The services-growth story is back in focus now that Apple is finally shipping visible AI features.

New highs need volume confirmation; $310 is first support, with $320 the next upside target.

Microsoft fell 4.2% to $441, the day's mega-cap laggard, sliding well below its 52-week high.

Rotation into pure-play chip names like Nvidia and Marvell is pulling capital out of software megacaps.

$435 is support; a break opens $420. The stock needs fresh AI-monetization proof to re-rate.

Meta slipped 0.5% to $598 amid an employee backlash over its AI data-privacy practices.

Headline risk around AI governance is capping the stock even as ad revenue holds — a sentiment drag, not a fundamentals break.

$590 support and $610 resistance bracket the near-term range.

Alphabet dropped 3.9% to $362, underperforming its mega-cap peers on the session.

Profit-taking after a strong run, plus fresh questions about how Google funds its heavy AI capex, weighed on the shares.

$355 is first support; a reclaim of $370 is needed to steady the trend.

Amazon eased 1.8% to $257, pulling back with the mega-cap software cohort.

A June Prime Day signals a push for consumer momentum, but the stock is caught in the chip-over-software rotation.

$252 support and $262 resistance define the range into the next session.