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Nasdaq 100 jumped to 30,223.9 (+0.84%), outperforming as AI-leveraged names led on the ceasefire bid plus fresh Anthropic $1T valuation chatter. Micron Q1 earnings still echoing.

The AI capex narrative is still doing the heavy lifting — Anthropic IPO and Samsung HBM4E shipping headlines reinforce the spend cycle. Peter Schiff's bubble warning is the only counter, and it hasn't bit yet.

30,500 is the next round-number magnet. PCE Friday plus any Nvidia commentary into the next earnings window. Loss of 29,800 would be the first real warning shot.

USD/JPY slipped to 159.24 (-0.20%) as the dollar lost some Iran-premium overnight, but the pair stayed pinned near intervention-watch territory. Yen failed to capitalize on lower US yields.

The carry is still doing the work — even with US10Y at 4.46% (-0.58%), the differential vs JGBs keeps shorts on the back foot. Only MoF intervention or a Fed-pivot signal breaks this.

BoJ summary of opinions Friday; any hawkish hint accelerates yen recovery. 160.00 is the line that triggers verbal intervention rhetoric. Downside support 158.50 then 157.80.