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Gold dropped $35 to $4,684 despite Trump rejecting Iran's peace deal. Risk-on flows into equities and crypto pulled capital away from the safe haven.

Gold's failure to rally on geopolitical escalation is a bearish signal. The metal is trading as a crowded long, not a hedge — profit-taking dominates.

US CPI Tuesday is the swing factor. Hot print revives real-rate fears and pressures gold further; soft print restores $4,730+.

Dollar-yen crept higher to 157.03 despite broad dollar weakness — yen underperformed as risk appetite sent capital out of safe havens.

BoJ's July rate hike expectations are fading after soft Tokyo CPI. The carry trade is back on, capping yen strength even as DXY weakens.

Japan GDP Wednesday 02:50 TRT. Contraction would kill remaining BoJ hike bets and open 158+ quickly.