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Gold dropped $35 to $4,684 despite Trump rejecting Iran's peace deal. Risk-on flows into equities and crypto pulled capital away from the safe haven.

Gold's failure to rally on geopolitical escalation is a bearish signal. The metal is trading as a crowded long, not a hedge — profit-taking dominates.

US CPI Tuesday is the swing factor. Hot print revives real-rate fears and pressures gold further; soft print restores $4,730+.

S&P closed at 7,398.9, within 3 points of its all-time high. Tech and semis led the charge as AI capex optimism overrode Iran headlines.

The market is pricing peak earnings growth — AI spending is accelerating faster than even bulls expected. Breadth is narrowing though, which historically precedes corrections.

Intraday ATH test at 7,401.5 is imminent. Clean break targets 7,500. CPI miss Tuesday could trigger the breakout; hot CPI kills it.