// COMPARE

EUR/USD held flat at 1.1631 as a firmer dollar from the crypto-driven risk-off capped the euro near the middle of its recent range.

DXY at 99.2 is still historically soft, so the ECB-Fed rate gap keeps EUR bid on dips, but upside momentum has stalled around 1.1600.

1.1600 is the line in the sand; a break opens 1.1530. Reclaiming 1.1700 is needed to revive the bull case.

USD/JPY pushed to 159.88, within a whisker of its 52-week high, as yield differentials and BoJ caution kept the yen pinned.

With US10Y at 4.45% and the BoJ slow to tighten, carry strongly favors the dollar — but intervention risk rises near 160.

160.00 is the psychological and intervention trigger; a clean break targets 161.50, while jawboning could snap it back.