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EUR edged to 1.1769 as the dollar softened on risk-on flows into Asian equities and tech. DXY held below 98.10 for a third straight session.

Weak dollar momentum is structural — markets are pricing two Fed cuts by September while ECB stays hawkish on sticky services inflation.

US CPI Tuesday 15:30 TRT is the week's pivot. Core above 0.3% MoM would reprice Fed path and reverse dollar weakness sharply.

Dollar-yen crept higher to 157.03 despite broad dollar weakness — yen underperformed as risk appetite sent capital out of safe havens.

BoJ's July rate hike expectations are fading after soft Tokyo CPI. The carry trade is back on, capping yen strength even as DXY weakens.

Japan GDP Wednesday 02:50 TRT. Contraction would kill remaining BoJ hike bets and open 158+ quickly.