// COMPARE

EUR/USD bounced to 1.1654 (+0.31%) as the dollar slipped on Hormuz ceasefire optimism, even after US strikes complicated the picture. Range traded tight all session as traders weighed conflicting Iran headlines.

Euro is the cleanest dollar-funded carry when oil-driven dollar strength fades. With DXY at 98.99 and US10Y near 4.46%, the relief rally favors EUR over higher-beta crosses while geopolitical resolution remains uncertain.

EU CPI flash print tomorrow is the main catalyst — ECB pricing still hinges on services inflation stickiness. 1.1700 caps upside; a clean Hormuz deal headline could push there. Loss of 1.1600 reopens 1.1550.

Nasdaq 100 jumped to 30,223.9 (+0.84%), outperforming as AI-leveraged names led on the ceasefire bid plus fresh Anthropic $1T valuation chatter. Micron Q1 earnings still echoing.

The AI capex narrative is still doing the heavy lifting — Anthropic IPO and Samsung HBM4E shipping headlines reinforce the spend cycle. Peter Schiff's bubble warning is the only counter, and it hasn't bit yet.

30,500 is the next round-number magnet. PCE Friday plus any Nvidia commentary into the next earnings window. Loss of 29,800 would be the first real warning shot.