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EUR/USD bounced to 1.1654 (+0.31%) as the dollar slipped on Hormuz ceasefire optimism, even after US strikes complicated the picture. Range traded tight all session as traders weighed conflicting Iran headlines.

Euro is the cleanest dollar-funded carry when oil-driven dollar strength fades. With DXY at 98.99 and US10Y near 4.46%, the relief rally favors EUR over higher-beta crosses while geopolitical resolution remains uncertain.

EU CPI flash print tomorrow is the main catalyst — ECB pricing still hinges on services inflation stickiness. 1.1700 caps upside; a clean Hormuz deal headline could push there. Loss of 1.1600 reopens 1.1550.

Cable closed at 1.3445 (+0.21%), a modest grind higher tracking broad dollar softness. Deutsche Bank's EUR/GBP rally call dampened sterling enthusiasm; GBP underperformed EUR on the session.

Sterling lacks a domestic catalyst this week, so it's purely a dollar funding play. BoE pricing already discounts cuts; without an inflation shock, GBP is range-bound between dollar sentiment and EUR cross-flow.

UK retail sales data and any BoE speaker hints on August cut timing. Resistance at 1.3480; support 1.3400. EUR/GBP move above 0.8680 would cap GBP/USD regardless of dollar direction.